Neither Poland nor Lithuania dares to blockade, let alone invade, this Russian exclave.
Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski proposed in mid-September that Poland should “exercise so aggressively on our side (of Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave) as to make … [Russian President Vladimir Putin] uncertain of what we will do, and so that he needs to draw forces away from Ukraine.” By the end of the month, The i Paper from the UK published an article about how “Russia’s tiny outpost in Europe could be Putin’s greatest weakness”, which quoted former NATO officials who fantasized about blockading it.
Russia’s response was swift. Several days after The i Paper’s provocative piece, the Russian Embassy in the UK released a statement declaring that “Those advocating plans to blockade or strike Kaliningrad should have no illusions about the consequences. Any British or NATO military action against Russian territory would be met with a response using all means at Russia’s disposal, including nuclear weapons.” The Russian Embassy in Ireland released a similar statement to that effect on the same day.
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